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Why is Amazon stock going up?

Because it showed the AI spending turning into revenue — AWS growing 37% with margins expanding, in the same week rivals were punished for spending without proof. But the headline profit figure is not what it appears, and that part is worth understanding.

By Nathan Wickham-Hurd · Founder, Oak Growth · First-class Economics & Finance, MBA · Last reviewed August 2026

The short answer

Amazon rose because it did the one thing the market spent 2026 demanding: it showed the AI spending turning into revenue. AWS grew 37%, its fastest in eighteen quarters, and margins expanded while capital spending rose. Microsoft got rewarded for the same message the same week; Meta and Alphabet were marked down for spending without it.

Context, August 2026. Amazon reported second-quarter 2026 results on 30 July: net sales of $200.6bn, up 20% and the first $200bn quarter in its history, with operating income up 43% to $27.5bn. AWS revenue rose 37% to $42.2bn — a $169bn annualised run rate — with segment operating income of $16.6bn at a 39.4% margin. Advertising grew 26% to $19.8bn. Shares closed the session up 3.9% and rose a further 9% after hours. Full-year capital spending guidance was raised to about $220bn from about $200bn. Market conditions change; the framework below is meant to outlast them.

The number the headlines got wrong

Reported net income was $62.6bn, or $5.75 a share, against roughly $1.81 expected. That looks like one of the largest earnings beats in corporate history. It isn't.

$53.4bn of that came from a non-operating, pre-tax mark-to-market gain, primarily on Amazon's stake in Anthropic. That's an accounting revaluation of an investment, not money the business earned selling anything. Of roughly $80.9bn in pre-tax income, about two thirds was that single item.

Reported pre-tax income ~$80.9bn − Anthropic revaluation $53.4bn = From actual operations ~$27.5bn

Strip it out and underlying profit is somewhere near $21bn — up meaningfully year on year, genuinely good, and nothing like the headline. If you're valuing Amazon on that $5.75 figure, you're capitalising a one-off revaluation as though it recurs every quarter. It won't, and it can reverse.

This is the single most useful habit in reading results: separate what the business earned from what its balance sheet was revalued at. Mark-to-market gains on investments are real in an accounting sense and meaningless for forecasting. See the three financial statements for where these items sit.

What actually drove the shares

AWS accelerated rather than slowed

Growth went from 28% in the first quarter to 37% in the second — the fastest in eighteen quarters, and the fifth consecutive quarter of acceleration. That directly answers the bear case, which was that heavy capital spending was chasing demand that might not arrive.

Margins expanded while spending rose

AWS operating margin reached 39.4%, up roughly 650 basis points year on year. Growing and getting more profitable at the same time is unusual, and it's the combination that separates spending which pays from spending which doesn't.

Backlog

AWS contracted backlog was reported around $496bn, growing at triple-digit rates. That's forward revenue already signed — a far better indicator than a single quarter's growth rate.

Advertising quietly compounding

Up 26% to $19.8bn. Amazon's advertising business is now larger than most standalone media companies and carries margins closer to AWS than to retail. It's consistently under-modelled because it's disclosed less prominently.

The bill, which is enormous

Capital spending on property and equipment reached $169bn on a trailing twelve-month basis, up 64%, and full-year guidance rose to roughly $220bn. The consequence shows up where it always does:

Free cash flow, trailing 12 months 2025: +$18.2bn 2026: −$7.6bn

Amazon is currently consuming more cash than it generates. Operating cash flow rose 33% to $161.4bn — and capital spending outran it. That's the same arithmetic that hurt Meta; the difference is that Amazon showed the revenue arriving alongside it, so investors extended credit rather than withdrawing it.

What to watch from here

Whether AWS acceleration holds

Five consecutive quarters of acceleration is the whole thesis. A deceleration back toward 25% would still be strong and would still hit the shares, because the price now reflects the higher number.

When free cash flow turns positive again

Negative free cash flow is defensible while it's building revenue-producing capacity. It stops being defensible if it persists after growth normalises.

Underlying earnings, not reported

The Anthropic stake will be revalued every quarter, up or down. Build your own bridge from pre-tax income to operations each time.

Q3 guidance versus delivery

Guidance was $197–202bn of net sales and $22.5–26.5bn of operating income, with management attributing the sequential slowdown to Prime Day timing and currency. Worth checking that explanation against the actual result.

Separate the business from the accounting

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Common questions

Why is Amazon stock going up?

Because its second-quarter 2026 results showed AI and cloud spending converting into revenue. AWS grew 37% — its fastest in eighteen quarters — with operating margin expanding to 39.4%, while total net sales passed $200bn for the first time and operating income rose 43%. That directly answered the concern that heavy capital spending might not pay off.

Did Amazon really earn $62.6bn in a quarter?

Not from operations. Reported net income of $62.6bn includes roughly $53.4bn of non-operating, pre-tax mark-to-market gain, primarily on Amazon's stake in Anthropic. That is an accounting revaluation of an investment rather than profit earned from selling anything, so underlying operations-driven profit was far lower.

How fast is AWS growing?

AWS revenue rose 37% year on year in the second quarter of 2026 to $42.2bn, giving an annualised run rate of about $169bn. That was its fastest growth in eighteen quarters and the fifth consecutive quarter of acceleration, with operating margin reaching 39.4%.

Is Amazon's capital spending a problem?

It has turned free cash flow negative — an outflow of $7.6bn on a trailing twelve-month basis, against an inflow of $18.2bn a year earlier — with full-year capital spending guided to around $220bn. That is defensible while the spending is producing accelerating revenue, and becomes a problem if it persists after growth normalises.

Also see: Amazon (AMZN) full analysis → · The $500bn AI spending question → · Free cash flow explained →