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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN)

Analysis by Nathan Wickham-Hurd · Founder, Oak Growth · Technology

Amazon is two businesses with very different economics wearing one ticker, and valuing it means separating them. This page covers the moats, the margin question, and what to check.

Oak Growth calculates Amazon’s intrinsic value, margin of safety, BP Score and Buffett pillar results from live market data, updated continuously. See the current figures →

The business

Retail is enormous, low margin and capital hungry. AWS is smaller by revenue and produces the majority of operating profit. Advertising has quietly become a third pillar with margins closer to AWS than to retail. Anyone modelling Amazon on consolidated figures is averaging three businesses that should be valued separately.

The moat

Two distinct moats. Retail has network effects — more sellers attract more buyers, which attracts more sellers — plus a logistics network competitors would need years and enormous capital to replicate. AWS has switching costs: once an application is built on a cloud provider’s services, moving means re-architecting it. The second moat is the more durable of the two and the one attached to the profits.

What to check before you value it

How much of it you already own

Amazon is around 4.1% of the Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF as at July 2026. See what is inside an ETF.

Recent filings

Earnings beat + guidance upgrade 6 February 2025
Amazon Q4 2024 — operating income $21.2bn, up 61%. AWS revenue $28.8bn, up 19%. Operating margin above 11% for the first time.

The margin figure was the one that changed the case. An operating margin above 11% for the first time suggested the retail business could be run for profit rather than perpetual reinvestment, which is a different company from the one investors had priced for two decades.

How Oak Growth scores it

Oak Growth runs Amazon through the same four pillars as every other company it covers — moat, management, economics and value — and publishes a discounted cash flow intrinsic value alongside the margin of safety against the current price. Because those figures move with the market and with each set of results, they live in the app rather than on this page. See the 4-pillar method →

Common questions

Is Amazon.com Inc undervalued?

That depends on the price on the day you ask. Oak Growth publishes a discounted cash flow intrinsic value for Amazon.com Inc and the resulting margin of safety, updated from live market data rather than a fixed figure. The checks that decide it are set out on this page.

Does Amazon.com Inc have an economic moat?

Two of them. Retail has marketplace network effects and a logistics network that would take years and enormous capital to replicate; AWS has switching costs, because applications built on one cloud provider are expensive to re-architect elsewhere.

Is AMZN in index funds and ETFs?

Yes. Amazon was roughly 4.1% of the Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF as at July 2026, so most US and global index funds hold a meaningful position.

How do you value Amazon.com Inc?

Value the segments separately. Retail, AWS and advertising have very different margins and capital requirements, so a single multiple applied to consolidated earnings will be wrong in both directions at once.

See Amazon.com Inc’s current intrinsic value on Oak Growth →

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