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Netflix (NFLX)

The company that taught the world to stream, now growing through price rises and advertising rather than new subscribers. That is a different business to value.

By Nathan Wickham-Hurd · Founder, Oak Growth · First-class Economics & Finance, MBA · Last reviewed August 2026

The business

Netflix sells subscriptions to a library of licensed and original content, increasingly supplemented by advertising on a cheaper tier and by live events. Q2 2026 revenue was $12.56bn, up 13%, attributed to membership growth, pricing and higher advertising revenue.

Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was narrowed to $51.0-51.4bn.

The numbers that matter

All figures as reported on the dates shown. Nothing on this page updates with the share price — the live valuation sits in the app.

MeasureLatest reported
Q2 2026 revenue$12.56bn+13%
Earnings per share80 centsvs 79 cents expected
Net income$3.40bnfrom $3.13bn
Revenue vs consensus$12.56bnjust under $12.59bn expected
Q3 revenue growth guided12%company guidance
FY2026 revenue guidance$51.0-51.4bnnarrowed range

The moat

Scale in content spending, which is a real but expensive moat. Netflix can amortise a large production budget across more subscribers than almost any rival, so it can outspend them per title while spending less per viewer.

The limit is that content is not owned attention the way a social network is. Subscribers can leave at the end of any month and the library does not stop them — which is why pricing power has to be tested rather than assumed. Netflix raised prices across all plans in 2026 and reported the result as consistent with previous increases.

What to check before you value it

Whether price rises stick

Growth now depends more on revenue per member than on new members. The company said the 2026 price increases performed in line with prior changes. Watch whether that holds when it is repeated.

Advertising as a share of revenue

The ad-supported tier is a second business with different economics. It is cited as a growth driver but is not yet the main one.

Content spending against cash generation

Content is a cash cost long before it is an audience. The relationship between what is spent and what it returns is the core of any streaming valuation.

Reduced engagement disclosure

From 2027 the company will publish its 'What We Watched' report annually rather than twice a year, saying it wants focus on financial metrics. Less frequent engagement data makes the business harder to check independently.

Recent filings

Dated announcements only. Figures below were reported on the dates shown and are not updated as the share price moves.

16 July 2026 · Q2 2026 results
Revenue $12.56bn, up 13% and slightly below the $12.59bn expected. Net income $3.40bn, or 80 cents per share, against $3.13bn and 72 cents a year earlier. EPS of 80 cents against 79 cents expected. Growth attributed to membership growth, pricing and increased advertising revenue.
16 July 2026 · Guidance
Third-quarter revenue growth guided at 12%. Full-year 2026 revenue range narrowed to $51.0-51.4bn from $50.7-51.7bn.
16 July 2026 · Reporting change
The 'What We Watched' engagement report moves to annual publication in the first quarter from 2027, separated from earnings, stated as keeping focus on revenue and operating profit.

How Oak Growth scores it

Oak Growth runs a discounted cash flow on Netflix and publishes the assumptions behind it — the discount rate, the growth rate and the terminal value — alongside a margin of safety against the live price. It also scores the company on the four pillars: moat, management, economics and value, in that order, because price comes last. The live figures sit in the app rather than on this page, so nothing here goes stale.

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Common questions

Is Netflix still growing?

Yes, but differently. Q2 2026 revenue rose 13% to $12.56bn, driven by a combination of membership growth, price increases and advertising rather than by subscriber additions alone. Full-year guidance was narrowed to $51.0-51.4bn.

How does Netflix make money from advertising?

Through a lower-priced ad-supported subscription tier, where revenue comes from advertisers as well as the member. The company cited increased advertising revenue as a contributor to Q2 2026 growth.

Why is Netflix publishing engagement data less often?

From 2027 the 'What We Watched' report moves to once a year in the first quarter, separated from earnings. Netflix stated the aim is to keep attention on financial metrics such as revenue and operating profit.

What is the main risk in valuing Netflix?

Content is a large cash cost incurred before any subscriber sees it, and subscriptions can be cancelled monthly. A valuation therefore rests on whether pricing power and retention hold as content spending continues, rather than on any single year's earnings.

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